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The America Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (aka ARRA or The Economic Stimulus Plan)
Latest Developments- Over 87% of the funds already obligated and over 70% outlayed
- $551 billion have been outlayed (the $ have reached the final
recipient)
$243 billion in tax rebates/relief to
individuals and corporations; $162 billion in aid to states and
impacted individuals; and $146 billion in direct government
discretionary spending
- $687 billion have been obligated (the $ have been already assigned to
projects, but not distributed yet)
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) Congress
passed the $787.2 billion American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of
2009 (H.R. 1), also known as the economic stimulus plan, on February 13, 2009. President Obama signed the bill into law on Tuesday,
February 17. The final bill was close in size ($$$$) to what the
administration had asked for though some of its priorities, such as
school construction funds, were eliminated. The vote was cast along
partisan lines - no House Republican voted for it, and only 3 GOP
Senators supported it. The bill calls for $308 billion in
discretionary spending with the rest spent between tax incentives and
direct aid to states and individuals. You can read the entire bill at
the following link: The following two documents provide easy to read explanations on many of the provisions of the bill:
The economic stimulus plan is one President Obama's main
weapons to jump-start the economy and prevent a much deeper and longer
recession; the current downturn started in December 2007 making it
already one of the longest since the Great Depression, and it has
caused the second largest number of job losses in the history of the US
in a single year (in absolute, but not - yet - relative numbers).
Through
a combination of tax cuts, direct investments in a variety of sectors
including infrastructure, energy, science and education and help to the
unemployed and to the states, Congress and the President are looking to
alleviate if not stop the decline in economic activity. As of March
2009, the economy has lost 5.1 million jobs, which have been shed
across all sectors of the economy except for government and
healthcare. The hope is that the package, in addition to
making Keynes proud, will be successful in reducing the number
of future layoff and in creating new jobs to replace those already lost. The history of the bill starts with President Obama
introducing it in early January. Democrats in the House of
Representatives passed the "American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of
2009" on January 29th, 2009 (the full text of the original H.R. 1
bill is found here, but its companion document
is more readable if you are not interested in the minutia).
Senate Democrats and a few Republicans reached a consensus on
a somewhat less ambitious version of the bill on February 6, 2009 (that
version is found here). An amended version as discussed by the Senate on February 7th, is found here.
The compromise Senate bill totaled $827 billion - cutting some of the
programs for school construction, and public health and principally
reducing aid to states. The final House-Senate compromise bill brought
back some of these programs, not all, and reduce some of the tax
incentive portions of the Senate bill. With
the economic stimulus plan now passed, our goal is to track its success with respect to
job creation and in reviving the economy. We will investigate and
point out where jobs are being created and lost and how to take
advantage of the opportunities being presented by this massive fiscal
stimulus. To start the journey, it is worth taking a look at the
highlights of the recently passed plan.
General Principles
(1) To preserve and create jobs and promote economic recovery. (2) To assist those most impacted by the recession. (3) To provide investments needed to increase economic efficiency by spurring technological advances in science and health. (4)
To invest in transportation, environmental protection, and other
infrastructure that will provide long-term economic benefits. (5)
To stabilize State and local government budgets, in order to minimize
and avoid reductions in essential services and counterproductive state
and local tax increases.
Of
the $787.2 billion stimulus, $287 billion will come in the form of tax
cuts and tax breaks for individuals and businesses, $308 billion in
discretionary spending, and $192 billion for direct aid spending to
states and programs serving individuals in need (e.g. Medicaid,
unemployment assistance, health insurance subsidies).
On
the tax cut and break front, for individuals the bill introduces a
"Making Work Pay" tax credit, it provides relief to middle-class
earners affected by the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT), it expand the
Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), it increases the refundable portion of
the child credit, it provides educational and home and vehicle buyer
tax-credits. The total costs for these items are approximately $233
billion as estimated by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) in its Cost Estimate for the conference agreement for H.R. 1.
- The
formula for the "Making Work Pay" refundable income tax credit is
rather simple, anybody paying taxes (this includes those that only pay
payroll taxes - social security, and medicare) will receive $400 in tax
credits, and married couples $800 - there are income restrictions.
- Qualifications
for the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) have been expanded so that more
people could qualify for these credits, and increases the credit for
families with three or more children.
- For people for whom the
child tax credit ($1,000 per child) exceeds their tax liability, the
taxpayer can claim a refundable credit equal to 15% of their income in
excess of $3,000 for the years 2009 and 2010 (the regular threshold is
$12,550.
- In addition, retired individuals, people receiving
Supplemental Security Income, veterans and retired railroad personnel will
receive a one time payment of $250 ($500 for married couples).
- AMT
relief comes in the form of higher deductibles: $70,950 for married
individuals filing jointly, $46,700 for single people, and $35,475 for
married people filing separately.
- First-time homebuyers are
allowed a tax credit equal to the lesser of $8,000 ($4,000 for a
married individual filing separately) or 10 percent of the purchase
price of the principal residence. In addition, first-time homebuyers
do not need to repay the credit. This is valid as long as the home is
purchased between 1/1/09 and 12/1/09.
- The bill provides for educational tax credits for tuition expenses.
The
following tables provide an illustration of the tax provisions under
the "Make Work Pay" provision, and the EITC provision - (Please note:
the paragraphs above and the tables are for illustration only and DO
NOT constitute tax advice - please consult a tax expert on the matter)
Making Work Pay - Refundable Income Tax Credit
| Single Return
| Joint Return |
| The lesser of
| 6.2% | 6.2% | of gross income, or
|
| $400
| $800
| | | For gross incomes up to | $75,000 | $150,000
| | Above that it will be reduced by 2% of the excess, so the maximum adjusted gross income before the tax credit disappears is:
| $95,000
| $190,000
| |
Source: H.R. 1 Bill
Earned Income Tax Credit
| Maximum EITC
| Min Gross Income for Maximum Amount | Max Gross Income for Maximum Amount | Phase Out Income
| | Single taxpayer with no qualifying children (7.65% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount) | | Joint filing taxpayer with no qualifying children ( 7.65% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount) | | Single taxpayer with 1 qualifying child (34% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount) | | Joint filing taxpayer with 1 qualifying child (34% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount) | | Single taxpayer with 2 qualifying children ( 40% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount) | | Joint filing taxpayer with 2 qualifying children ( 40% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount) | | Single taxpayer with 3 or more qualifying children (45% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount) | | Joint filing taxpayer with 3 or more qualifying children (45% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount) |
| | $457 | | $457 | | $3,043 | | $3,043 | | $5,028 | | $5,028 | | $5,657 | | $5,657 | | | $5,970 | | $5,970 | | $8,950 | | $8,950 | | $12,570 | | $12,570 | | $12,570 | | $12,570 |
| | $7,470 | | $12,470 | | $16,420 | | $21,420 | | $16,420 | | $21,420 | | $26,420 | | $31,420 |
|
|
| $13,444 | | $18,444 | | $35,463 | | $40,463 | | $40,295 | | $45,295 | | $53,279 | | $58,279 | | Source:
H.R. 1 Bill; IMPORTANT NOTE: tax credits are valid for tax years 2009
and 2010. Tables are for illustration purposes only - they do NOT
constitute tax advice - please consult a tax expert
In
addition to tax breaks individuals will benefit directly from federal
aid to fund unemployment benefits and other programs that assist
struggling families at the tune of $57.2 billion, and health insurance
assistance costing $25 billion. The over $90 billion in State fiscal
relief are in its majority targeted towards providing Medicaid relief
as the needs for those programs increase and state revenues decrease.
Some interesting and novel proposal included among the tax incentives/breaks and the direct aid funding include: - Subsidy
for laid off workers (between 9/1/08 and 2/28/10) that are eligible for
COBRA health insurance benefits. The government will subsidize 65% of
the premium for 15 months at a cost of $25 billion (legislation signed in late December 2009 expanded coverage to 15 months from 9 and eligibility to February 28, 2010);
- Small
businesses (defined as revenue below $15 million) will be able to carry
back Net Operating Losses (NOL) incurred in 2008 or 2009 for up to 5
years;
- $14 billion in tax incentives for production and use of
renewable energy sources, and $4 billion in tax incentives for making
buildings and residences more energy efficient;
- Close to $17
billion in incentives to doctors, hospitals and clinics (Medicare and
Medicaid providers) to adopt Electronic Health Records - these
investment is expected to reduce substantially the administrative costs
of providing health care and ultimately result in better care for
patients.
Discretionary Spending Quick
use of the funds is one of the priorities for Congress, as such one of
the goals is to invest 50% of the money in projects that will have a
start date on no more than 120 days from the time when the Act is
enacted. To make sure that the funds are spent in
accordance to government rules and regulations and are directed towards
the uses specified by the Act, Congress is calling for over $300
million in additional funds to be allocated to the Inspector General
offices of federal departments that will be disbursing ARRA funds and
to other agencies in charge of overseeing these funds. In addition,
there will be a seven person Accountability and Transparency Board that
will oversee the Federal funds disbursed because of this Act. You'll
be happy to know that the Act forbids the use of any funds for gambling
establishments, aquariums, zoos, golf courses and swimming pools. Buy America language: the
House thought it appropriate to add a provision that any iron or steel
purchased using funds from the stimulus be produced in the United
States - there are some exceptions if using US iron or steel increases
the price over 25% and others. The provision makes its (ugly)
appearance on the final version of the bill as well - there is language
on the bill that safeguards our international treaties, so it should
have no impact on that.
All grants calls and awards are to be published online at Recovery.gov - the site will contain information about how the funds will be allocated across the different states and localities. Congress'
intention is that most funds be disbursed under "fixed-price"
contracts. For the un-initiated, a fixed-price contract calls for the
contractor to be paid a pre-determined price for the goods and services
provided - if in the delivery of the services the costs incurred are
higher than initially estimated, the loss is the contractor's -
likewise, if the costs are lower, the benefits go to the contractor as
well. In other contracting modalities such as "time & materials",
and "cost plus", the risk for cost overruns is carried by the
government (as are the benefits). States will receive significant support : The
final compromise provides states with $54 billion in discretionary
spending geared in large part towards financing spending on education.
In addition, to these funds, Congress will support states by providing
fiscal relief estimated by the CBO at over $94 billion - Medicaid
support costs make up the bulk of that spending. | |
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| ARRA Spending - Per Government Agency
Expenditures per department are as follows - for a more detailed summary breakdown check this page: Department (Agency) Discretionary
Funding
| | Agriculture |
| $6,115,000,000 |
| | Defense (DOD)
|
| $12,510,000,000 |
| | Energy (DOE)
|
| $33,573,000,000 |
| Health and Human Services (HHS)
|
| $22,400,000,000 |
| | Homeland Security (DHS) |
| $2,755,000,000 |
| Housing and Urban Development (HUD)
|
| $13,610,000,000 |
| | | | | Department of State (DOS) |
| $600,000,000 |
| | Transportation (DOT)
|
| $48,100,000,000 |
| | Veterans Affairs |
| $1,350,000,000 |
| | General Services Administration (GSA) |
| $5,850,000,000 |
| | National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) |
| $1,000,000,000 |
| | National Science Foundation (NSF) |
| $3,000,000,000 |
| | Small Business Administration (SBA) |
| $720,000,000 |
| | Social Security Administration |
| $1,000,000,000 |
| | Corporation for National and Community Service |
| $160,000,000 |
| | Atomic Energy Defense Activities |
| $5,137,000,000 |
| | | Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (Food Stamps) |
| $19,991,000,000 |
| | State Assistance |
| $53,600,000,000 |
| | Agriculture, Nutrition and Rural Development
Congress
provides for $6.1 billion in discretionary spending for construction of
agricultural buildings, grants for rural community advancement programs
(supporting loans for up to $3.8 billion), rural housing insurance
direct loans and loan guarantees (supporting close to $11.5 billion in
loans), watershed and flood prevention infrastructure and food
subsidies. In addition, Congress allocates $2.5 billion for rural
broadband programs, telemedicine and distance learning.
The
COB estimates that the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
(SNAP), also known as food stamps, will cost close to $20 billion over
the next 10 years. Commerce
The
ARRA stipulates that $7.9 billion will be directed to commerce
department programs, of which $4.7 billion will be grants for broadband
deployments in disadvantaged areas. NOAA will receive $830 billion for
environmental restoration and mitigation and for climate studies among
other uses. The conversion to digital television receives a boost by
providing $650 million for coupons to purchase set-up boxes. NIST
receives $580 million for research and construction of facilities.
Justice
$4
billion are set aside to help states and local communities maintain and
improve policing and law enforcement efforts that are expected to be
affected by budget shortfalls. $2.2 billion go to
grants to improve the functioning of the criminal justice system - a
variety of programs are supported through these grants. Violence
against women programs receive a $225 million injection, as well as
program to fight Internet crimes against children ($50 million). $1
billion will go to community policying programs to hire law enforcement
officers. Science
Science
programs get a big boost. In addition to a significant investment in
health and energy research, the ARRA calls for $1 billion in funding to
go to NASA for earth science, aeronautics, and exploration. The
National Science Foundation (NSF) will receive $3 billion for
scientific research. . Defense
Of
the $12.5 billion that the Department of Defense is scheduled to
receive, $7.6 billion are for infrastructure investments and to build
facilities for the different branches of the armed forces and for
medical services. In addition, $300 million are for energy research
programs run out of the DoD.
The remaining $6 billion are for the Corps of Engineers to build and maintain water infrastructure.
Interior
The
Interior department is awarded $10.3 billion. Of those funds grants to
build and maintain water infrastructure amount to $1 billion, the EPA
will receive $7.2 billion for environmental restoration and mitigation
- grants for the clean water fund and other water projects constitute
$6 billion of that amount.
The remaining $1.9 billion are
mostly for construction projects to improve the infrastructure of the
different Interior areas: National Parks, Land Management, USGS, etc. Energy
Modernization,
energy efficiency and the use of alternative sources of energy were the
guiding principles of the massive increase in funding for the
Department of Energy. $39 billion will be allocated to move these
programs forward - there are $16 billion specifically targeted to
energy efficiency and renewable energy, $2.5 billion are targeted for
the development of new technologies for renewable energy (e.g. biomass,
geothermal, etc.) and $3.4 billion in fossil energy research and
development; science investment in energy adds another $2 billion,
and $2 billion in manufacturing for advanced batteries.
Energy Total Investment
| Funding ($ millions)
| Modernizing the grid
| $4,500
| All other discretionary spending on energy
| $34,510 | Tax incentives for renewable energy production and use
| $14,000 | Tax incentives for energy efficiency
| $4,000 | Total
| $57,010 |
Modernizing
the electric grid is a significant priority, and $4.5 billion are
directed to this purpose, and increasing efficiency is as well as $5
billion in grants for weatherization assistance. In addition, in order
to spur the development of new technologies the government will
guarantee up to $60 billion in loans at a cost of $6 billion.
Environmental cleanup for atomic energy and programs will consume over
$5.5 billion. Direct spending will also play a role in the move
to more energy efficiency and renewable energy - they will provide an
additional $18 billion to spur individual and businesses to move in
that direction. Small Business Administration
The ARRA provides $720 million most directed to fund direct loans and loan guarantees for small businesses. Homeland Security
Compared
to the Senate bill, the House shortchanges DHS by directing $1.1
billion that way. The spending will go towards information technology
investments, detection devices, infrastructure, and food and shelter
assistance. Infrastructure Discretionary Spending
| Funding ($ millions)
| Transportation
| $48,100
| Energy
| $39,010 | Water
| $5,940 | Broadband
| $7,200 | EPA
| $7,220 | Total
| $107,470 | General Services Administration (GSA)
Construction
initiatives are big winners in the stimulus plan. Most of the $5.85
billion slated towards the GSA will be directed towards building and
repairing of federal government facilities. GSA will also look to
invest $300 million in the lease/purchase of energy efficient
automobiles for the federal fleet
Health and Human Services (HHS)
Health
care is another priority of the ARRA; research, health care delivery,
health care IT all received large injections of funds. HHS will
receive $22.4 billion.
On the research front, of the total
funding, $10 billion will directed to the National Institutes of Health
(NIH) - $1.8 billion for construction and renovation of facilities
including the purchase of research equipment, and the remaining $8.2
billion to be dispersed within its many institutes and at the discretion
of the Office of the Director. An additional $1.1. billion will be
directed to the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) for
comparative effectiveness research ($400 million of these will be spent
through the NIH).
Looking at health-care delivery, $3 billion
will be dedicated to grants and direct investments for construction and
repair of health centers and HHS facilities. $5.3 billion will be
spent in assistance programs for children, families and the aging.
These numbers mask the very large investment that the government is
making to support state Medicaid and other programs for the needy and
the healthcare insurance subsidy - the first ones will consume $89
billion, while the latter $25 billion.
Health information
technology takes center stage: the Office of the National Coordinator
for Health Information Technology will receive $2 billion to move into
high gear the implementation of a national health information
infrastructure and augment the use of electronic health records; at
least $300 million are set aside for regional health care information
exchanges. Importantly, the bill calls for $17 billion to be spent in
tax credits for Medicare and Medicaid providers to adopt Electronic
Health Records (EHRs) in their practices, so that health care moves
from being paper-based to electronic which should reduce costs, while
providing better care.
Health, Science and Research
| Funding ($ million)
| National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
|
| $1,000
| National Science Foundation (NSF)
| $3,000
| | National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) |
| $220 | | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) |
| $830 | | Energy - Innovative Technology Loan Guarantee Program & Other New Tech Initiatives |
| $8,500 | | Fossil Energy Research & Development |
| $3,400 | | $2,000 | | Defense - Energy Research & Development |
| $300 | | National Institutes of Health (NIH) |
| $10,000 | | Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) |
| $1,100 | | Office of the National Coordinator for Health Information Technology |
| $2,000 | TOTAL
| $32,350 | Labor
The Labor department will receive $4.8 billion, most of which is directed towards grants for training displaced workers.
The
unemployed will also receive substantial assistance from the government
in the form of direct funding of unemployement compensation and other
benefits at the tune of $57.3 billion. Education
Education is also very high in the list of priorities of the ARRA, as the total spending is in the $100 billion neighborhood. $44.6
billion is assigned to this department to be disbursed as grants to
states, localities, educational institutions and individuals; $44
billion of the $54 billion in spending aid to the states is targeted
towards education, and in addition, the federal government is providing
tax breaks for states to finance school repair and construction through
the issuance of bonds; an additional $4 billion are in tax breaks for
individuals' educational expenses. The breakdown of these funds by state is provided in the ARRA Educational Funding by State page. Of
the funds going through the Department of Education, $13 billion will
go towards grants for disadvantaged students; another $12.2 billion
will go to special education grants; $15.8 billion to (Pell) grants to
pursue higher education. Education Investments
| Funding ($ million)
| Education for the Disadvantage
| $13,000
| Special Education
| $12,200 | Grants for Higher Education
| $15,840 | Aid to States Directed at Education
| $44,368 | Tax Credits to States for Issuance of Bonds to Finance School Construction
| $11,000 | Other
| $3,584 | | Total | $99,993 | State Department
DOS
will receive a "meager" $600 million under the stimulus plan (when
everybody is getting billions upon billions, $600 million doesn't look
like much). About half of the funds will go towards improving IT -
especially security; $90 million to improve passport processing, and
another $220 million for construction of a border program with Mexico. Transportation
Right
up there on the infrastructure theme, another big recipient of funds
from the ARRA is transportation at $48.1 billion. Construction,
construction and more construction: highway infrastructure investment
represents the bulk of the money at $27.5 billion; railroads received a
surprising $9.3 billion, most of which, $8 billion allocated to
high-speed rail corridors and the modernization of inter-city links.
The Federal Transit Administration receiving $6.9 billion and aviation
(FAA) $1.3 billion. The government has already released the $27 billion for highway infrastructure funds. Check out the distribution of Highway Infrastructure Funds by State. Information Technology Spending (funds expressely allocated to IT - other programs have more funding among the allocated values)
| Funding ($ million)
| | Office of the National Coordinator for Health Information Technology |
| $2,000 | | Incentives to Medicaid and Medicare providers to adopt Electronic Health Records (EHR) |
| $20,819 | | $50
| | Small Business Administration (SBA) |
| $20 | HHS - Indian Health Service
| $85 | Social Security Administration
| $500 | Veterans Affairs
| $50 | Department of State
| $290 | | TOTAL | $23,814
| Housing and Urban Development (HUD)
Of
the $13.6 billion that HUD will receive under the House bill, $4 billion
will go for construction, maintenance and repair of public housing;
another $3 billion to community development grants and neighborhood
stabilization activities and $2.25 billion to assist elderly and needed
individuals retrofit their homes to be more energy efficient. Capital
investments in low-income housing and homeless prevention fund programs
will get $3.75 billion.
The housing industry
is at the epicenter of the current crisis, and the federal government
spending to shore up the probem shows in other programs currently run
from the Treasury, the FDIC, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. As indicated
in the Financial Stability Plan
introduction made by Treasury secretary Geithner, $50 billion of the
TARP will be directed towards resolving mortgage foreclosures issues. Veteran Affairs
$1.35
billion will go to Veteran's affairs under the stimulus bill most of it
for the construction and repair of medical facilities that serve
veterans.
Retired veterans or veterans receiving assistance,
will also receive a one time $250 ($500 if married and both parties
qualify) refundable tax credit within 120 days of the signing of the
ARRA.
Reference Documents
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act - Details
Provides line-item details covered by the ARRA.
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act - H.R. 1 The ARRA as passed by congress in Mid February.These documents provide easy to read explanations on many of the provisions of the bill.
H.R. 1, American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
Cost estimates of the ARRA by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
Estimated Macroeconomic Impacts of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
CBO estimates as of March 2009.
The American Recovery and and Reinvestment Act: Helping Middle Class Families
A report by the Middle Class
Taskforce under the office of the Vice-President on the effects of the
ARRA on middle class families.
ARRA: State by State Estimates of Key Provisions Affecting Low and Moderate Income Individuals
Center for Budget and Policy Priorities estimates of the benefits provided by the ARRA at the state level.
GAO's Role in Helping to Ensure Accountability and TransparencyGAO's report on their duties under the ARRA.
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