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The America Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (aka ARRA or The Economic Stimulus Plan)



Latest Developments
  • Over 87% of the funds already obligated and over 70% outlayed
    • $551 billion have been outlayed (the $ have reached the final recipient)
           $243 billion in tax rebates/relief to individuals and corporations;
           $162 billion in aid to states and impacted individuals; and
           $146 billion in direct government discretionary spending
  • $687 billion have been obligated (the $ have been already assigned to projects, but not distributed yet)

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA)
Congress passed the $787.2 billion American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (H.R. 1), also known as the economic stimulus plan, on February 13, 2009.  President Obama signed the bill into law on Tuesday, February 17.  The final bill was close in size ($$$$) to what the administration had asked for though some of its priorities, such as school construction funds, were eliminated.  The vote was cast along partisan lines - no House Republican voted for it, and only 3 GOP Senators supported it.  The bill calls for $308 billion in discretionary spending with the rest spent between tax incentives and direct aid to states and individuals. You can read the entire bill at the following link:
                    The following two documents provide easy to read explanations on many of the provisions of the bill:


 

The economic stimulus plan is one President Obama's main weapons to jump-start the economy and prevent a much deeper and longer recession; the current downturn started in December 2007 making it already one of the longest since the Great Depression, and it has caused the second largest number of job losses in the history of the US in a single year (in absolute, but not - yet - relative numbers). 

Through a combination of tax cuts, direct investments in a variety of sectors  including infrastructure, energy, science and education and help to the unemployed and to the states, Congress and the President are looking to alleviate if not stop the decline in economic activity.  As of March 2009, the economy has lost 5.1 million jobs, which have been shed across all sectors of the economy except for government and healthcare.  The hope is that the package, in addition to making Keynes proud, will be successful in reducing the number of future layoff and in creating new jobs to replace those already lost.

The history of the bill starts with President Obama introducing it in early January.  Democrats in the House of Representatives passed the "American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009"  on January 29th, 2009 (the full text of the original H.R. 1 bill is found here, but its companion document is more readable if you are not interested in the minutia).  Senate Democrats and a few Republicans reached a consensus on a somewhat less ambitious version of the bill on February 6, 2009 (that version is found here).  An amended version as discussed by the Senate on February 7th, is found here.  The compromise Senate bill totaled $827 billion - cutting some of the programs for school construction, and public health and principally reducing aid to states.  The final House-Senate compromise bill brought back some of these programs, not all, and reduce some of the tax incentive portions of the Senate bill. 
 
With the economic stimulus plan now passed, our goal is to track its success with respect to job creation and in reviving the economy.  We will investigate and point out where jobs are being created and lost and how to take advantage of the opportunities being presented by this massive fiscal stimulus.  To start the journey, it is worth taking a look at the highlights of the recently passed plan.
 

General Principles
 

(1) To preserve and create jobs and promote economic recovery.

(2) To assist those most impacted by the recession.

(3) To provide investments needed to increase economic efficiency by spurring technological advances in science and health.

(4) To invest in transportation, environmental protection, and other infrastructure that will provide long-term economic benefits.

(5) To stabilize State and local government budgets, in order to minimize and avoid reductions in essential services and counterproductive state and local tax increases.

 

Of the $787.2 billion stimulus, $287 billion will come in the form of tax cuts and tax breaks for individuals and businesses, $308 billion in discretionary spending, and $192 billion for direct aid spending to states and programs serving individuals in need (e.g. Medicaid, unemployment assistance, health insurance subsidies).


On the tax cut and break front, for individuals the bill introduces a "Making Work Pay" tax credit, it provides relief to middle-class earners affected by the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT), it expand the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), it increases the refundable portion of the child credit, it provides educational and home and vehicle buyer tax-credits.  The total costs for these items are approximately $233 billion as estimated by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) in its Cost Estimate for the conference agreement for H.R. 1.


  • The formula for the "Making Work Pay" refundable income tax credit is rather simple, anybody paying taxes (this includes those that only pay payroll taxes - social security, and medicare) will receive $400 in tax credits, and married couples $800 - there are income restrictions. 
  • Qualifications for the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) have been expanded so that more people could qualify for these credits, and increases the credit for families with three or more children.  
  • For people for whom the child tax credit ($1,000 per child) exceeds their tax liability, the taxpayer can claim a refundable credit equal to 15% of their income in excess of $3,000 for the years 2009 and 2010 (the regular threshold is $12,550.
  • In addition, retired individuals, people receiving Supplemental Security Income, veterans and retired railroad personnel will receive a one time payment of $250 ($500 for married couples).
  • AMT relief comes in the form of higher deductibles: $70,950 for married individuals filing jointly, $46,700 for single people, and $35,475 for married people filing separately.
  • First-time homebuyers are allowed a tax credit equal to the lesser of $8,000 ($4,000 for a married individual filing separately) or 10 percent of the purchase price of the principal residence.  In addition, first-time homebuyers do not need to repay the credit.  This is valid as long as the home is purchased between 1/1/09 and 12/1/09.
  • The bill provides for educational tax credits for tuition expenses.


The following tables provide an illustration of the tax provisions under the "Make Work Pay" provision, and the EITC provision - (Please note: the paragraphs above and the tables are for illustration only and DO NOT constitute tax advice - please consult a tax expert on the matter)


Making Work Pay - Refundable Income Tax Credit
Single Return
Joint Return
The lesser of
 6.2% 6.2%of gross income, or

$400
$800
 
For gross incomes up to $75,000$150,000
 
Above that it will be reduced by 2% of the excess,
so the maximum adjusted gross income before the
tax credit disappears is:
$95,000
$190,000
 

  Source: H.R. 1 Bill

 Earned Income Tax Credit
Maximum EITC
Min Gross Income for Maximum AmountMax Gross Income for Maximum AmountPhase Out Income
Single taxpayer with no qualifying children (7.65% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount)
Joint filing taxpayer with no qualifying children ( 7.65% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount)
Single taxpayer with 1 qualifying child  (34% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount)
Joint filing taxpayer with 1 qualifying child  (34% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount)
Single taxpayer with 2 qualifying children ( 40% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount)
Joint filing taxpayer with 2 qualifying children ( 40% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount)
Single taxpayer with 3 or more qualifying children  (45% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount)
Joint filing taxpayer with 3 or more qualifying children  (45% of earnings up to Min Gross Income Amount)
$457
$457
$3,043
$3,043
$5,028
$5,028
$5,657
$5,657
 
$5,970
$5,970
$8,950
$8,950
$12,570
$12,570
$12,570
$12,570
$7,470
$12,470
$16,420
$21,420
$16,420
$21,420
$26,420
$31,420

$13,444
$18,444
$35,463
$40,463
$40,295
$45,295
$53,279
$58,279
 
  Source: H.R. 1 Bill; IMPORTANT NOTE: tax credits are valid for tax years 2009 and 2010.  Tables are for illustration purposes only - they do NOT constitute tax advice - please consult a tax expert


In addition to tax breaks individuals will benefit directly from federal aid to fund unemployment benefits and other programs that assist struggling families at the tune of $57.2 billion, and health insurance assistance costing $25 billion.  The over $90 billion in State fiscal relief are in its majority targeted towards providing Medicaid relief as the needs for those programs increase and state revenues decrease.


Some interesting and novel proposal included among the tax incentives/breaks and the direct aid funding include:

  • Subsidy for laid off workers (between 9/1/08 and 2/28/10) that are eligible for COBRA health insurance benefits.  The government will subsidize 65% of the premium for 15 months at a cost of $25 billion (legislation signed in late December 2009 expanded coverage to 15 months from 9 and eligibility to February 28, 2010);
  • Small businesses (defined as revenue below $15 million) will be able to carry back Net Operating Losses (NOL) incurred in 2008 or 2009 for up to 5 years;
  • $14 billion in tax incentives for production and use of renewable energy sources, and $4 billion in tax incentives for making buildings and residences more energy efficient;
  • Close to $17 billion in incentives to doctors, hospitals and clinics (Medicare and Medicaid providers) to adopt Electronic Health Records - these investment is expected to reduce substantially the administrative costs of providing health care and ultimately result in better care for patients.


Discretionary Spending
Quick use of the funds is one of the priorities for Congress, as such one of the goals is to invest 50% of the money in projects that will have a start date on no more than 120 days from the time when the Act is enacted.  

 

To make sure that the funds are spent in accordance to government rules and regulations and are directed towards the uses specified by the Act, Congress is calling for over $300 million in additional funds to be allocated to the Inspector General offices of federal departments that will be disbursing ARRA funds and to other agencies in charge of overseeing these funds.  In addition, there will be a seven person Accountability and Transparency Board that will oversee the Federal funds disbursed because of this Act. 

 

You'll be happy to know that the Act forbids the use of any funds for gambling establishments, aquariums, zoos, golf courses and swimming pools.

 

Buy America language: the House thought it appropriate to add a provision that any iron or steel purchased using funds from the stimulus be produced in the United States - there are some exceptions if using US iron or steel increases the price over 25% and others.  The provision makes its (ugly) appearance on the final version of the bill as well - there is language on the bill that safeguards our international treaties, so it should have no impact on that.

 

All grants calls and awards are to be published online at Recovery.gov - the site will contain information about how the funds will be allocated across the different states and localities.

 

Congress' intention is that most funds be disbursed under "fixed-price" contracts. For the un-initiated, a fixed-price contract calls for the contractor to be paid a pre-determined price for the goods and services provided - if in the delivery of the services the costs incurred are higher than initially estimated, the loss is the contractor's - likewise, if the costs are lower, the benefits go to the contractor as well.  In other contracting modalities such as "time & materials", and "cost plus", the risk for cost overruns is carried by the government (as are the benefits).

 

States will receive significant support : The final compromise provides states with $54 billion in discretionary spending geared in large part towards financing spending on education.  In addition, to these funds, Congress will support states by providing fiscal relief estimated by the CBO at over $94 billion - Medicaid support costs make up the bulk of that spending.



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 ARRA Spending - Per Government Agency

Expenditures per department are as follows - for a more detailed summary breakdown check this page:

 Department (Agency)                                                               Discretionary
                                                                                                            Funding
Agriculture
$6,115,000,000
Commerce
$7,910,000,000
Defense (DOD)

$12,510,000,000
Education
$44,624,000,000
Energy (DOE)

$33,573,000,000
Health and Human Services (HHS)

$22,400,000,000
Homeland Security (DHS)
$2,755,000,000
Housing and Urban Development (HUD)

$13,610,000,000
Interior
$10,210,000,000
Justice
$3,990,000,000
Labor
$4,800,000,000
Department of State (DOS)
$600,000,000
Treasury
$180,000,000
Transportation (DOT)

$48,100,000,000
Veterans Affairs
$1,350,000,000
General Services Administration (GSA)
$5,850,000,000
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
$1,000,000,000
National Science Foundation (NSF)
$3,000,000,000
Small Business Administration (SBA)
$720,000,000
Social Security Administration
$1,000,000,000
Corporation for National and Community Service
$160,000,000
Atomic Energy Defense Activities
$5,137,000,000
Other
$5,153,000,000
Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (Food Stamps)
$19,991,000,000
State Assistance
$53,600,000,000
Total
$308,338,000,000

 
Agriculture, Nutrition and Rural Development

Congress provides for $6.1 billion in discretionary spending for construction of agricultural buildings, grants for rural community advancement programs (supporting loans for up to $3.8 billion), rural housing insurance direct loans and loan guarantees (supporting close to $11.5 billion in loans), watershed and flood prevention infrastructure and food subsidies.  In addition, Congress allocates $2.5 billion for rural broadband programs, telemedicine and distance learning.
 
The COB estimates that the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), also known as food stamps, will cost close to $20 billion over the next 10 years.
 
Commerce

The ARRA stipulates that $7.9 billion will be directed to commerce department programs, of which $4.7 billion will be grants for broadband deployments in disadvantaged areas.  NOAA will receive $830 billion for environmental restoration and mitigation and for climate studies among other uses.  The conversion to digital television receives a boost by providing $650 million for coupons to purchase set-up boxes.  NIST receives $580 million for research and construction of facilities.
 
Justice
$4 billion are set aside to help states and local communities maintain and improve policing and law enforcement efforts that are expected to be affected by budget shortfalls.
 
$2.2 billion go to grants to improve the functioning of the criminal justice system - a variety of programs are supported through these grants.  Violence against women programs receive a $225 million injection, as well as program to fight Internet crimes against children ($50 million).  $1 billion will go to community policying programs to hire law enforcement officers.
 
Science

Science programs get a big boost.  In addition to a significant investment in health and energy research, the ARRA calls for $1 billion in funding to go to NASA for earth science, aeronautics, and exploration.  The National Science Foundation (NSF) will receive $3 billion for scientific research.
.
Defense

Of the $12.5 billion that the Department of Defense is scheduled to receive, $7.6 billion are for infrastructure investments and to build facilities for the different branches of the armed forces and for medical services.  In addition, $300 million are for energy research programs run out of the DoD. 

The remaining $6 billion are for the Corps of Engineers to build and maintain water infrastructure.
 
Interior

The Interior department is awarded $10.3 billion.  Of those funds grants to build and maintain water infrastructure amount to $1 billion, the EPA will receive $7.2 billion for environmental restoration and mitigation - grants for the clean water fund and other water projects constitute $6 billion of that amount. 

The remaining $1.9 billion are mostly for construction projects to improve the infrastructure of the different Interior areas: National Parks, Land Management, USGS, etc.
 
Energy

Modernization, energy efficiency and the use of alternative sources of energy were the guiding principles of the massive increase in funding for the Department of Energy.  $39 billion will be allocated to move these programs forward - there are $16 billion specifically targeted to energy efficiency and renewable energy, $2.5 billion are targeted for the development of new technologies for renewable energy (e.g. biomass, geothermal, etc.) and $3.4 billion in fossil energy research and development; science investment in energy adds another $2 billion,   and $2 billion in manufacturing for advanced batteries.

 Energy Total Investment
Funding ($ millions)
Modernizing the grid
$4,500
All other discretionary
spending on energy
 $34,510
Tax incentives for renewable
energy production and use
 $14,000
Tax incentives for energy efficiency
 $4,000
Total
 $57,010
Modernizing the electric grid is a significant priority, and $4.5 billion are directed to this purpose, and increasing efficiency is as well as $5 billion in grants for weatherization assistance.  In addition, in order to spur the development of new technologies the government will guarantee up to $60 billion in loans at a cost of $6 billion.  Environmental cleanup for atomic energy and programs will consume over $5.5 billion.

Direct spending will also play a role in the move to more energy efficiency and renewable energy - they will provide an additional $18 billion to spur individual and businesses to move in that direction.

Small Business Administration
The ARRA provides $720 million most directed to fund direct loans and loan guarantees for small businesses.
 
Homeland Security

Compared to the Senate bill, the House shortchanges DHS by directing $1.1 billion that way.  The spending will go towards information technology investments, detection devices, infrastructure, and food and shelter assistance.
 

Infrastructure
Discretionary Spending
Funding ($ millions)
Transportation
$48,100
Energy
 $39,010
Water
 $5,940
Broadband
 $7,200
EPA
 $7,220
Total
 $107,470
General Services Administration (GSA)

Construction initiatives are big winners in the stimulus plan.  Most of the $5.85 billion slated towards the GSA will be directed towards building and repairing of federal government facilities.  GSA will also look to invest $300 million in the lease/purchase of energy efficient automobiles for the federal fleet
 
Health and Human Services (HHS)

Health care is another priority of the ARRA; research, health care delivery, health care IT all received large injections of funds.  HHS will receive $22.4 billion. 

On the research front, of the total funding, $10 billion will directed to the National Institutes of Health (NIH) - $1.8 billion for construction and renovation of facilities including the purchase of research equipment, and the remaining $8.2 billion to be dispersed within its many institutes and at the discretion of the Office of the Director.  An additional $1.1. billion will be directed to the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) for comparative effectiveness research ($400 million of these will be spent through the NIH).

Looking at health-care delivery, $3 billion will be dedicated to grants and direct investments for construction and repair of health centers and HHS facilities.  $5.3 billion will be spent in assistance programs for children, families and the aging.  These numbers mask the very large investment that the government is making to support state Medicaid and other programs for the needy and the healthcare insurance subsidy - the first ones will consume $89 billion, while the latter $25 billion.

Health information technology takes center stage: the Office of the National Coordinator for Health Information Technology will receive $2 billion to move into high gear the implementation of a national health information infrastructure and augment the use of electronic health records; at least $300 million are set aside for regional health care information exchanges.  Importantly, the bill calls for $17 billion to be spent in tax credits for Medicare and Medicaid providers to adopt Electronic Health Records (EHRs) in their practices, so that health care moves from being paper-based to electronic which should reduce costs, while providing better care. 
 
Health, Science and Research
Funding ($ million)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
$1,000
National Science Foundation (NSF)
$3,000
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)
 $220
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
 $830
Energy - Innovative Technology Loan Guarantee Program & Other New Tech Initiatives
 $8,500
Fossil Energy Research & Development
 $3,400
Energy - Science
 $2,000
Defense - Energy Research & Development
 $300
National Institutes of Health (NIH)
 $10,000
Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ)
 $1,100
Office of the National Coordinator for Health Information Technology
 $2,000
TOTAL
 $32,350
Labor

The Labor department will receive $4.8 billion, most of which is directed towards grants for training displaced workers.

The unemployed will also receive substantial assistance from the government in the form of direct funding of unemployement compensation and other benefits at the tune of $57.3 billion.
 
Education

Education is also very high in the list of priorities of the ARRA, as the total spending is in the $100 billion neighborhood. 

$44.6 billion is assigned to this department to be disbursed as grants to states, localities, educational institutions and individuals; $44 billion of the $54 billion in spending aid to the states is targeted towards education, and in addition, the federal government is providing tax breaks for states to finance school repair and construction through the issuance of bonds; an additional $4 billion are in tax breaks for individuals' educational expenses. 

The breakdown of these funds by state is provided in the ARRA Educational Funding by State page.

Of the funds going through the Department of Education, $13 billion will go towards grants for disadvantaged students; another $12.2 billion will go to special education grants; $15.8 billion to (Pell) grants to pursue higher education.

Education Investments
Funding ($ million)
Education for the Disadvantage
$13,000
Special Education
 $12,200
Grants for Higher Education
 $15,840
Aid to States Directed at Education
 $44,368
Tax Credits to States for Issuance of
Bonds to Finance School Construction
 $11,000
Other
 $3,584
Total $99,993

State Department
DOS will receive a "meager" $600 million under the stimulus plan (when everybody is getting billions upon billions, $600 million doesn't look like much).  About half of the funds will go towards improving IT - especially security; $90 million to improve passport processing, and another $220 million for construction of a border program with Mexico.
 
Transportation

Right up there on the infrastructure theme, another big recipient of funds from the ARRA is transportation at $48.1 billion.  Construction, construction and more construction: highway infrastructure investment represents the bulk of the money at $27.5 billion; railroads received a surprising $9.3 billion, most of which, $8 billion allocated to high-speed rail corridors and the modernization of inter-city links.  The Federal Transit Administration receiving $6.9 billion and aviation (FAA) $1.3 billion.

The government has already released the $27 billion for highway infrastructure funds.  Check out the distribution of Highway Infrastructure Funds by State.
 
Information Technology Spending
(funds expressely allocated to IT - other programs
have more funding among the allocated values)
Funding ($ million)
Office of the National Coordinator for Health Information Technology
 $2,000
Incentives to Medicaid and Medicare providers to adopt Electronic Health Records (EHR)
 $20,819
Agriculture
$50
Small Business Administration (SBA)
 $20
HHS - Indian Health Service
 $85
Social Security Administration
 $500
Veterans Affairs
 $50
Department of State
 $290
TOTAL$23,814
 
Housing and Urban Development (HUD)

Of the $13.6 billion that HUD will receive under the House bill, $4 billion will go for construction, maintenance and repair of public housing; another $3 billion to community development grants and neighborhood stabilization activities and $2.25 billion to assist elderly and needed individuals retrofit their homes to be more energy efficient.  Capital investments in low-income housing and homeless prevention fund programs will get $3.75 billion.
 
The housing industry is at the epicenter of the current crisis, and the federal government spending to shore up the probem shows in other programs currently run from the Treasury, the FDIC, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  As indicated in the Financial Stability Plan introduction made by Treasury secretary Geithner, $50 billion of the TARP will be directed towards resolving mortgage foreclosures issues.
 
Veteran Affairs

$1.35 billion will go to Veteran's affairs under the stimulus bill most of it for the construction and repair of medical facilities that serve veterans.

Retired veterans or veterans receiving assistance, will also receive a one time $250 ($500 if married and both parties qualify) refundable tax credit within 120 days of the signing of the ARRA.
 







Reference Documents


American Recovery and Reinvestment Act - Details

Provides line-item details covered by the ARRA.


American Recovery and Reinvestment Act - H.R. 1
The ARRA as passed by congress in Mid February.

These documents provide easy to read explanations on many of the provisions of the bill.


H.R. 1, American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009

Cost estimates of the ARRA by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).


Estimated Macroeconomic Impacts of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009

CBO estimates as of March 2009.


The American Recovery and and Reinvestment Act: Helping Middle Class Families

A report by the Middle Class Taskforce under the office of the Vice-President on the effects of the ARRA on middle class families.


ARRA: State by State Estimates of Key Provisions Affecting Low and Moderate Income Individuals

Center for Budget and Policy Priorities estimates of the benefits provided by the ARRA at the state level.


GAO's Role in Helping to Ensure Accountability and Transparency
GAO's report on their duties under the ARRA.